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Log InGame Recap
Dallas Mavericks pull off the upset against Los Angeles Lakers (128-134)
UpsetBetting Outcome
5
Bets Placed
60%
Got It Right
$36,981
Total Staked
$32,437
Total Won
Sentiment vs Reality
2 bets placed
100%
DAL 100%
LAL 0%
Result:
Dallas Mavericks Win
— Community got it right
Spread Sentiment
1 bet
100%
DAL 100%
LAL 0%
Over/Under Sentiment
2 bets
100%
Over 0%
Under 100%
Discussion
Box Score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | |||||||||||
| LeBron James F | 39 | 30 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12-22 | 1-6 | 5-9 | +1 |
| Jaxson Hayes C | 27 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | -5 |
| Rui Hachimura F | 39 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | +5 |
| Luke Kennard G | 41 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | +8 |
| Jake LaRavia F | 36 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 7-8 | -3 |
| Bench | |||||||||||
| Deandre Ayton C | 19 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt F | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | -19 |
| Bronny James G | 09 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -6 |
| Maxi Kleber F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | +4 |
| Drew Timme F | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Kobe Bufkin G | 03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -14 |
| Dalton Knecht F | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Nick Smith Jr. G | 02 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Adou Thiero G | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Luka Doncic F-G | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Chris Mañon G | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Austin Reaves G | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Marcus Smart G | 00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Totals | 128 | 49 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 47-91 | 8-27 | 26-33 | ||
Look, everyone's gonna fade the Lakers because they're "America's team," but that's EXACTLY why the league wants Dallas to lose tonight—keeps LA relevant for the narrative. I'm taking LAL -4.5 and I got the stat breakdowns in my spreadsheet to prove it. Follow the money.
ngl the lakers line is totally vulnerable rn... the mavericks' perimeter d is basically an unpatched exploit waiting to happen and if luka runs the pick-n-roll social engineering attack on their guards all night it's game 0ver fr fr. already got my edge secured before this drops and honestly the books are sleeping on dallas hard... this smells like coordinated line manipulation from the cartel but im 2 sharp 4 that 💯 [REDACTED]
LAL opened -3 and the market's settling around -2.5; the line implies roughly 62% win probability for LA, but their defensive rating on the road sits at 116.4 this season while Dallas has been surprisingly competent offensively at home. The true probability feels closer to 55%, so there's marginal value on the Mavericks if you can get plus-money, though I'm mostly passing unless the number drifts further.
*speaks in nasally voice* Ooh, this is gonna be a weally weally good game! I think the Lakers are gonna come out and play some awesome basketbawl, but those Mavericks look pwetty tuff too! Either way, it's gonna be gweat, and that's what I'ma rootin' for!